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Economics can be good for health, but it
needn’t be so dismal
Eric Crampton
One can easily see why some come to call economics the
“dismal science.”1 The letter by
Wilson, Edwards, and Mansoor in this issue of the NZMJ entitled
Economics can be good for health: need for rational policy without the
influence of vested interests (http://www.nzma.org.nz/journal/120-1263/2757)
suggests to me that anything fun should be taxed until we’re left with a
rather dreary existence devoid of risk, excitement, or sensation. However, for a
more positive assessment, one ought look perhaps to a real economist rather than
those invoking the discipline’s name in pursuit of their personal
agendas.
Wilson et al suggest that rational economic analysis calls
for large increases in tobacco and alcohol taxes to reduce
consumption—taxing obesogenic and subsidising “healthier” food
options follow as the next “rational” suggestions. Given New
Zealand’s rather high rates of STDs, I await their calls for large taxes
on unprotected sex and subsidisation of condoms or, in the alternative, strict
regulation of sex outside of a monogamous partnership.
Just as differential hazards call for differential taxes on
beer and wine, so too might they recommend higher taxes on particularly risky
sexual activity. It seems that, for them, reducing health (and, possibly,
environmental) risks is all that we really should include in a social welfare
function.
Of course, most economists would disagree vehemently.
Raising taxes does tend to reduce consumption and, where consumption generates
large negative externalities (costs borne by uninvolved parties) can even be
efficient: Pigovean taxes (taxes proportionate to those external costs) can push
us closer to socially-optimal outcomes. But, there is no inefficiency caused by
people choosing to live lifestyles they view as preferable despite the health
costs.
If I decide to enjoy a shorter life rather than eek out a
miserable existence without wonderfully-marbled steaks, a beer or several, or
even the occasional cigar, zero inefficiency is induced
thereby.2
Some try to build a case for market failure based on
“fiscal externalities”: with a publicly-funded health system, I may
offload the costs of my choices onto the public purse and take too many risks.
But, economic theory suggests that we really oughtn’t worry too
much.3 Many economists view these not to be
inefficiency-inducing externalities at all.
To the extent that fiscal externalities are a problem, the
only two solutions that push us towards efficiency are:
I tend to think that the losses of either approach
are much larger than the losses incurred simply by leaving things alone. It is
more socially costly to try and correct all of the distortions caused by people
consuming too much risk because of the public health system than it is to simply
bear the cost of the distortions.
Moreover, what evidence there is suggests that to the extent
smoking induces a “fiscal externality,” the sign of the effect is
wrong: smokers pay more in cigarette taxes than they ever cost the public purse.
They die earlier of cheaper diseases and collect less in superannuation than do
non-smokers.4 And, as a 10% increase in
cigarette taxes correlates with a 2% increase in
obesity,5 one wonders whether increased
cigarette taxes consequently require further increases in taxes on fatty foods.
I suppose that the key difference between economists and
public health researchers is that economists are typically happier to let
individuals be the judges of their own wellbeing. If people make choices that we
wouldn’t make for ourselves, we’re happy for them to do so as long
as they’re not hurting anybody else in the process.
“De gustibus non est
disputandum”:6 we should not criticise
individuals’ preferences. Too often, researchers couch paternalistic
arguments in allegations of market failure to give the cloak of scientific
efficiency to their prescriptions. Doing so is just bad economics. A more honest
approach would first specify that the authors want to tell everyone how to live
their lives, then present the set of Pigovean instruments as an efficient way of
inducing the consumption choices they view as better than that which people
would otherwise choose for themselves.
Be not ashamed of your paternalism: embrace it! But, if
others disagree, don’t blame shadowy special interests for the failure of
your policy prescriptions; rather, concede that most people really don’t
like it when others try to tell them how to live, even if following the advice
would lead to slightly longer (but less interesting) lives.
Wilson et al specifically criticise the government’s
planned policies on climate change. I confess to puzzlement as to the relevance
of this issue for a medical journal. Given the goal of reducing emissions, most
economists prefer carbon taxes7 though many
prefer trading as second-best where Pigovean taxes are not politically feasible.
Economists also are divided as to whether the entire
enterprise is worth the effort: reducing carbon emissions sufficiently to have
any effect on warming may well prove far more costly than simply bearing the
costs of the warming and reallocating the saved monies to environmental areas
where the “bang for the buck” is much
higher.8,9
But few economists would follow Wilson et al in arguing that
a carbon trading system that allocates initial carbon emission rights to current
emitters is irrational. Once the system is set up, most economists would argue
it’s entirely irrelevant (on efficiency grounds) to whom initial credits
are allocated: people will trade the emission rights to achieve the efficient
allocation of the rights.10
Moreover, allocating rights initially to polluters makes the
whole thing politically feasible. Such allocations might not be
“fair” under some ethical frameworks, but others may well deem it
unjust to ask the agricultural sector to bear the lion’s share of the
costs of appeasing Green Party voters’ sensibilities. However, such
allocations certainly do not violate efficiency or conditions for
“rational policy.” Couching value statements as matters of
efficiency, again, is bad economics.
Wilson et al conclude by calling for independent agencies
with “real power to introduce and implement effective policy decisions in
the interests of health, the environment, and social justice.” If there
were real social consensus as to the goals to be achieved, and their relative
weightings as compared to everything else in life, perhaps they would be
correct. Of course, we ought to insulate an independent “Tobacco Control
Authority” not only from tobacco lobbyists but also from the
puritans11 who view any tobacco use as sin to
be extinguished.
There seems to be a great deal of money these days (mostly
coming from the public purse) funding moral crusades against the demon weed; I,
for one, wonder about the tenure or continued funding prospects of the health
researcher finding risks of secondhand smoke to be
overblown.12
More importantly, we do not have widespread social agreement
regarding the goals which Wilson et al wish to achieve by employing economic
incentives. People reasonably disagree as to what constitutes social justice,
the appropriate tradeoffs between health and happiness, and the weighting of
environmental amenities as compared to wealth and economic growth. Such is the
hurly-burly of normal politics, and such oughtn’t be shunted away to
arms-length agencies charged with forcing us to lead lives devoid of flavour.
I’ll take their recommendations, as I do my dinner,
with more than a pinch of salt.
Competing interests: The author has
received funding neither from evil tobacco lobbyists nor from anti-tobacco
zealots. He doesn’t smoke, but won’t think less of you if you do;
he’ll just ask that you refrain during dinner or in his home.
Author information: Eric Crampton, Senior
Lecturer, Department of Economics, University of Canterbury, Christchurch
Correspondence: Eric Crampton, Department
of Economics, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch. Email:
eric.crampton@canterbury.ac.nz
References:
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